Now I’m Committed

I’m at City of Hope, and I’ve just received my big dose of chemo to kill off my bone marrow. Tomorrow, I get the stem cells that were harvested from me put back in.

The idea here is to kill off the cancer in my bone marrow without killing me off, and then grow a new set of bone marrow from the stem cells.

My doctor thinks he’s actually cured a couple of patients, rather than merely extending the time until they relapse.

I won’t mind if it turns out I’m number three. Or even four.

Media Hoaxes: No, Sturgis Was Not A ‘Superspreader Event,” And No, It Did Not Cost ‘Public Health $12.2 Billion’

Gov. Kristi Noem: “This report isn’t science; it’s fiction. Under the guise of academic research, this report is nothing short of an attack on those who exercised their personal freedom to attend Sturgis” The post Media Hoaxes: No, Sturgis Was Not A ‘Superspreader Event,” And No, It Did Not Cost ‘Public Health .2 Billion’ first appeared on Le·gal In·sur·rec·tion .

Source: Media Hoaxes: No, Sturgis Was Not A ‘Superspreader Event,” And No, It Did Not Cost ‘Public Health $12.2 Billion’

Early treatment with hydroxychloroquine: a country-based analysis

Source

From the FAQ:

Why should we trust @CovidAnalysis? There is no need to. We provide organization and analysis, but all sources are public and you can easily verify everything. For the country-based analysis, all data is public and the analysis is simple to replicate. We also note that many equally qualified experts report contradictory conclusions. If you don’t like our analysis, you can use our database to locate information you may have missed for your own research.

FAQ

It’s also available as a 65-page PDF file.

The Pandemic is Winding Down

This is a nice, well-sourced piece in The American Thinker

In contrast to the Covid19 attributed deaths, the number for deaths from all causes is a hard number.  The deaths from all causes number exposes the current mass panic as an historical aberration and confirms the evidence that the mass panic has been engineered by politicians and a biased medical establishment.

The Covid-19 Pandemic is Ending

The 11 year weekly deaths from all causes graph (here and below,) shows that the 2020 flu season was about normal until it spiked for eight weeks in April and May due to Covid19 (CDC data here and here).  The April high of 78,000 was significantly higher than the previous multi-year high of 67,000 in 2018, but just as in previous years, the temporary spike rapidly declined toward baseline.

The 11 year baseline increased from about 45,000 in 2009 to about 51,000 in 2019, generally as a result of increasing population.  After this year’s April spike to 78,000, the current weekly all causes deaths number is down to 55,000, about 4,000 higher than the projected baseline.  We are at week 32 of the year, and flu season is about to kick in.  What does this mean regarding the Covid19 epidemic?

Testing Targets and Intensifies Social Distancing on the Infectious

I’ve been pounding on the need for fast, frequent testing but it’s clear from some of the comments to The Beginning of the End that I have failed to convey some fundamental points. A seemingly sophisticated objection is to note that given background prevalence rates even a fairly specific test will result in a high fraction of false positives among those who test positive. (This is the standard Bayesian doctor puzzle .) It’s nice to see people doing the Bayes calculation but some of them are then drawing the wrong conclusion.

Source: Testing Targets and Intensifies Social Distancing on the Infectious

Taking my blood for a spin

Tomorrow morning, I’ll be returning to the City of Hope. I’ll be spending my mornings hooked up to an apheresis machine, getting stem cells extracted from my blood. I’m scheduled to do this all week.

When I signed up to donate platelets back in the early 1990s, I was registered in the bone marrow donor database. So I’ve always had the notion in the back of my head that I might someday be a bone marrow donor. It never occurred to me that I’d also be the recipient.

The stem cells being extracted will be put back in after I’ve had a massive dose of chemo to kill off my bone marrow, and the cancer that is residing in it. Once it’s been thoroughly poisoned, the stem cells will be dribbled in, and will replace my bone marrow. This treatment is generally considered a way of buying time, but my transplant doctor thinks he’s cured at least a couple of patients with this technique.

I won’t mind being number three. Or even number four.

Ten Million Cases

A post on the Book of Feces Faces was lamenting that we’re up to ten million cases of Covid-19. Just for perspective, the CDC estimates that during the 2018-2019 season, the US had some 35.5 million cases of the flu. Of these, 16.5 million people went to a health care provider for their illness, 490,600 were hospitalized, and 34,200 died.

So worldwide, we have just over 10 million cases of Covid-10. Of these, nearly 503,000 have died. In the USA, we’ve had 2.6 million cases, and 128 thousand deaths. So there are a lot fewer cases, but it does seem to have a higher mortality rate.

I still wonder what the reaction would have been had the news presented daily counts of the numbers of cases and deaths from flu two years ago.

No longer just a talking point

Tara Reade has discovered she’s not one of the “all women” in “believe all women”. And she’s learning a bit about media bias:

This spring, she turned to leftist outlets to tell her serious allegation of sexual assault by Biden, appearing on Halper’s podcast and Democracy Now.

“I used to think that a Republican talking point was to call the mainstream media biased,” Reade said. “So I used to think, Oh, that’s just a talking point for them. I don’t believe it. But now I’m living it [in] real time, and I see it — like, I see it for what it is. Because I am a Democrat, or I was. But now I’m not anything, really. I’m politically homeless.”

Buzzfeed

They say a conservative is a liberal who’s been mugged.