Some Covid Links

(Don Boudreaux) Tweet Robby Soave details some of the incoherence of DC’s Covidocracy . A slice: It would be hard to argue that the mask mandate was what kept delta deaths at bay, since all those masks failed to prevent cases from increasing.

Cafe Hayek

Here are the age-stratified statistics of the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) for the disease, recently compiled by John I. A. Ioannides, one of the most prestigious bio-statisticians in the world.

0-19: .0027% (or a survival rate of 99.9973%)
20-29 .014% (or a survival rate of 99,986%)
30-39 .031% (or a survival rate of 99,969%)
40-49 .082% (or a survival rate of 99,918%)
50-59 .27% (or a survival rate of 99.73%)
60-69 .59% (or a survival rate of 99.31%)

More than 70, between 2.4 and 5.5% (or a survival rate of 97.6 and 94.5% depending on residential situation).

In response to Fauci declaring that daily U.S. Covid cases must fall to 10,000 in order to get to a “degree of normality,” el gato malo understands that he insults goat rodeos by calling the Fauci show a goat rodeo. A slice:

reached for comment, those capable of basic math had the following to say:

this is a completely fabricated number with no basis in science or epidemiology.

it’s a 0.0000303 infection rate. 1 in 33,000. this means a city of a million would have 30 cases a day.

this number is impossible to reach under current circumstances to a degree that makes it clear, obvious fraud.

The US has never, not once been that low since this all began.

But this is inherently a function of one simple thing: testing.

We’re currently running a million tests a day in the US. expect a spike back to 1.5 million as the high season kicks off.

We’re currently running a million tests a day in the US. expect a spike back to 1.5 million as the high season kicks off.

A 1% false/non-clinical positive rate would be 10k cases at a million test rate, 15k at 1.5mm.

No test has such a low false rate. at a million tests a day, even at zero covid, you could not hit this.

We DID hit a low of 12k cases back in july, but testing was, wait for it, only 500k then.