How Much Credit Should Lockdowns Get for Reducing COVID-19 Transmission?

Lots of confounding variables…

Americans have been debating the effectiveness of COVID-19 lockdowns for months now. To what extent did broad business closure and stay-at-home orders—as opposed to narrower interventions and voluntary precautions—reduce virus transmission, thereby avoiding hospital crises, buying time to develop testing and tracing capacity, and preventing deaths that otherwise would have occurred?

Source: How Much Credit Should Lockdowns Get for Reducing COVID-19 Transmission?