Computer Models, Wuhan Virus and Climate Change (Updated)

When I was first learning computers, the term was GIGO – “Garbage In, Garbage Out”.

The Wuhan virus bears heavily on the global warming / climate change hoax the left is pushing on the U.S. as a stalking horse for socialism and consolidation of power . The progressive left wants the message to be that the Wuhan virus is a mere foreshadowing of what will happen in the future due to climate change.

Computer Models, Wuhan Virus and Climate Change (Updated)

Andrea Widburg has taken an interest in the coronavirus models:

The Washington Post’s Philip Bump tried to explain away one set of wildly inflated predictions by saying the experts were accurate but that later behavioral changes caused lower numbers…

The problem is that the model Bump looks to assumed 100% social distancing, which hasn’t happened


Alex Berenson, a former New York Times writer, is also taking apart the modeling.  He most recently focused on Ohio’s attempt to do statistical time travel:

1/ Let’s talk more about the magic of “social distancing”: yesterday the Ohio governor said it had reduced the state’s projected peak daily cases from 62,000 to 1,600. Awesome! But let’s take a closer look, shall we?

2/ The state’s “unmitigated” model “projects” that without mitigation, the peak of 62,000 will occur (will HAVE OCCURED, to be more accurate) on March 22…

3/ Only Ohio didn’t *actually* issue a lockdown order until Monday, March 23. Yes, lockdowns are such magic that they can PREVENT (theoretical) peaks that occurred before they were issued…

4/ Folks, at this point it’s like an exercise to see if anyone is paying attention, a combination of a national folie a deux and Munchausen’s syndrome by proxy. WHAT IS GOING ON?

Maybe there’s a reason why dire projections about COVID-19 have been wrong

See also Epidemiologist lowers original catastrophic death prediction